What the future holds for the global stock markets now, concerns a lot of traders.
They are confused between buying in the promise of new infrastructure spending to drive US growth or to seek protection and to sell.
“If we got a very gracious Trump, very unifying Trump, as he stated in his victory speech, the equity market will settle down and government bond yields will go higher in anticipation of more borrowing and inflation,” stated Mohamed El-Erien, chief economic adviser at Allianz on Bloomberg TV.
El-Erien concluded that a lot depends on what happens in the next few days, and what Mr. Trump signals.
Wall Street opens higher and the Dow Jones index rose by 70 points, before dipping back.
Drugs firm Pfizer is up 9.8 percent, with rival Merck up 6 percent.
Machinery maker Caterpillar boots by 8 percent upon anticipations of Trump’s new infrastructure plan.
Share in steel producers, defense firms and pharmaceuticals firms are leading the rally.
Traders expect a rise in infrastructure projects, military spending and less pressure on drug prices.
That was quite the change compared to nine hours ago, when the Dow was sunk by 800 points.
Before the shocking results of the Trump win, Wall Street was sure that the US Federal reserve would raise interest rates in December, but today there are expectations that the FED will hold off a rate rise now.
At the same time, there are some market indicators that suggest the FED may still hike next month.
Overnight, there was a surge of money into 10-year Treasuries as Trump’s victory became clear around midnight EDT, as investors went for a safe haven, pushing down the yield on the bonds 1.7 percent.
That was reversed quickly after Trump’s victory speech, as markets anticipated a jump in borrowing and higher inflation. They threw Treasuries, pushing yields higher.
Investors expect that governments will spend more on weaponry such as military jets and armored vehicles. Defense company share continued to rally, sending BAE Systems up to a new record high.
Stock markets and emerging market currencies are down, while the cost of insuring government bonds using a credit-default swap has jumped.
Commodity prices are up, on weaker U.S. dollar and anticipation of higher infrastructure spending.
Gold hit a record high Wednesday, its highest in six weeks, as panicked investors looked for a safe haven.
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